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Results
The complete record, including the bad weeks.
Every figure on this page comes from real out-of-sample studies. Nothing is selected, smoothed or rounded up, and the assumptions behind them are stated below so you can discount them yourself.
Gold
2020-02-28 to 2026-09-18 / 172 test periods / points
2.21Step t-statisticthe higher, the less likely luck
546,178 ptsNet pointsno compounding
-74,951 ptsMax drawdownpeak to trough, in points
Monthly record
net points / every month shown, losers included44 / 80Profitable months
5 / 7Profitable years
174,744Best month / Feb 2026
-56,344Worst month / Sep 2026
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year / points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | -167 | 1,386 | 1,579 | -7,673 | -53 | -5,930 | 10,234 | -5,694 | 5,981 | -410 | 7,089 | 6,342 | |
| 2021 | -9,674 | 9,817 | 17,843 | -787 | -4,771 | 11,598 | -18,618 | 1,254 | 10,260 | -15,773 | 5,937 | -7,190 | -104 |
| 2022 | 10,443 | 24,417 | -16,679 | -7,337 | -9,105 | -1,787 | -11,869 | -10,896 | -14,610 | 2,136 | 16,443 | 4,204 | -14,640 |
| 2023 | 377 | 4,603 | 34,365 | 12,622 | -30,872 | 17,202 | -10,535 | 746 | -2,263 | 6,940 | 4,473 | 5,233 | 42,891 |
| 2024 | -19,547 | -3,214 | 5,937 | -678 | 10,081 | 10,213 | 6,878 | 5,802 | -7,192 | -3,316 | 42,403 | -1,198 | 46,169 |
| 2025 | -34 | 31,726 | -15,785 | 9,047 | 98,926 | 7,940 | 5,620 | -32,981 | 26,619 | 70,774 | -24,550 | -25,017 | 152,285 |
| 2026 | 81,209 | 174,744 | 46,446 | 18,986 | -13,957 | 63,003 | -2,363 | 1,510 | -56,344 | 313,234 | |||
| 2020-02-28 to 2026-09-18. Blank cells fall outside the study. Each test period counts in the month it ends. | 546,177 | ||||||||||||
546,178Net pointscumulative, out-of-sample
3,176Mean test periodaverage points per period
2.21Step t-statisticacross 172 test periods
-74,951Max drawdownpoints, peak to trough
1.89Profit factorgross win / gross loss
52.3%Profitable test periodsof 172 periods
144,354Best test periodsingle best, points
-47,845Worst test periodsingle worst, points
Why it is a straight line, not a rocket
No compounding, over 6.6 years. Points measure the raw price movement captured, independent of account size, trade size or leverage. Compounding is what makes a curve go vertical - and it tells you nothing about whether the edge is real.
Nikkei
2023-12-15 to 2026-09-18 / 73 test periods / points
2.74Step t-statisticthe higher, the less likely luck
333,486 ptsNet pointsno compounding
-50,902 ptsMax drawdownpeak to trough, in points
Monthly record
net points / every month shown, losers included22 / 34Profitable months
3 / 4Profitable years
55,301Best month / Feb 2026
-40,432Worst month / Jul 2026
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year / points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | -6,562 | -6,562 | |||||||||||
| 2024 | -2,476 | 2,679 | 9,210 | 21,210 | -1,386 | 3,826 | 17,860 | 30,382 | -12,948 | 31,462 | -11,669 | -8,730 | 79,420 |
| 2025 | -10,290 | 36,356 | 4,291 | 20,978 | -17,398 | -862 | 27,074 | 10,894 | 10,559 | 33,208 | -2,413 | 15,884 | 128,281 |
| 2026 | 11,910 | 55,301 | 46,134 | 13,308 | 4,378 | 50,074 | -40,432 | 9,580 | -17,907 | 132,346 | |||
| 2023-12-15 to 2026-09-18. Blank cells fall outside the study. Each test period counts in the month it ends. | 333,485 | ||||||||||||
333,486Net pointscumulative, out-of-sample
4,568Mean test periodaverage points per period
2.74Step t-statisticacross 73 test periods
-50,902Max drawdownpoints, peak to trough
2.52Profit factorgross win / gross loss
56.2%Profitable test periodsof 73 periods
45,390Best test periodsingle best, points
-49,008Worst test periodsingle worst, points
Why it is a straight line, not a rocket
No compounding, over 2.8 years. Points measure the raw price movement captured, independent of account size, trade size or leverage. Compounding is what makes a curve go vertical - and it tells you nothing about whether the edge is real.
Germany 40
2019-05-24 to 2026-09-18 / 192 test periods / points
2.00Step t-statisticthe higher, the less likely luck
86,780 ptsNet pointsno compounding
-26,324 ptsMax drawdownpeak to trough, in points
Monthly record
net points / every month shown, losers included50 / 89Profitable months
7 / 8Profitable years
13,328Best month / Sep 2020
-12,770Worst month / Dec 2021
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year / points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | -612 | 2,449 | -2,817 | 3,870 | -145 | 1,385 | -2,367 | 1,977 | 3,740 | ||||
| 2020 | 4,841 | 2,018 | 7,314 | 6,863 | 2,245 | 9,674 | -7,021 | 3,576 | 13,328 | -2,479 | 3,172 | 13 | 43,544 |
| 2021 | 3,976 | 1,120 | -1,888 | -1,145 | 3,903 | -478 | 6,762 | -1,098 | -918 | -536 | -748 | -12,770 | -3,820 |
| 2022 | 34 | -6,819 | 3,489 | -5,136 | 5,569 | 6,563 | -7,228 | 4,558 | 2,246 | 5,377 | -2,827 | 681 | 6,507 |
| 2023 | 4,069 | 2,058 | 2,328 | -692 | -1,069 | 3,102 | 5,624 | -865 | 1,645 | 7,737 | -1,483 | 2,083 | 24,537 |
| 2024 | -97 | 253 | 4,789 | -2,681 | 5,756 | -1,570 | 6,786 | 2,641 | -3,411 | -323 | -1,693 | -5,451 | 4,999 |
| 2025 | 7,593 | 8,358 | 2,120 | -1,432 | -10,399 | -8,314 | 3,802 | -1,982 | -1,007 | 4,303 | 1,497 | -178 | 4,361 |
| 2026 | 3,872 | 1,036 | -545 | -5,463 | 9,227 | -9,467 | 1,978 | -985 | 3,258 | 2,911 | |||
| 2019-05-24 to 2026-09-18. Blank cells fall outside the study. Each test period counts in the month it ends. | 86,779 | ||||||||||||
86,780Net pointscumulative, out-of-sample
452Mean test periodaverage points per period
2.00Step t-statisticacross 192 test periods
-26,324Max drawdownpoints, peak to trough
1.49Profit factorgross win / gross loss
56.8%Profitable test periodsof 192 periods
9,934Best test periodsingle best, points
-10,413Worst test periodsingle worst, points
Why it is a straight line, not a rocket
No compounding, over 7.3 years. Points measure the raw price movement captured, independent of account size, trade size or leverage. Compounding is what makes a curve go vertical - and it tells you nothing about whether the edge is real.
US Tech 100
2020-03-27 to 2026-09-18 / 170 test periods / points
2.97Step t-statisticthe higher, the less likely luck
345,518 ptsNet pointsno compounding
-35,554 ptsMax drawdownpeak to trough, in points
Monthly record
net points / every month shown, losers included51 / 79Profitable months
7 / 7Profitable years
46,774Best month / Feb 2026
-27,402Worst month / Dec 2025
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Year / points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 1,552 | -3,740 | 2,327 | 14,470 | -3,997 | -2,755 | -460 | -2,852 | 1,420 | 5,773 | 11,738 | ||
| 2021 | -1,746 | 6,603 | -2,023 | 8,954 | 15,093 | 259 | 7,136 | 8,794 | -4,136 | -8,817 | 6,772 | -8,957 | 27,932 |
| 2022 | 19,681 | 10,198 | -22,530 | -8,765 | 19,978 | 19,070 | 15,918 | 1,670 | 15,963 | -12,504 | 6,112 | 6,181 | 70,972 |
| 2023 | 6,271 | -2,137 | 852 | -14,949 | 4,949 | 4,949 | 8,004 | 6,878 | -1,606 | -11,585 | 4,786 | -2,338 | 4,074 |
| 2024 | 6,623 | -2,251 | 7,161 | 9,334 | 2,993 | 10,606 | 11,337 | 14,637 | -145 | -7,374 | -7,342 | 15,381 | 60,960 |
| 2025 | 5,700 | 21,134 | 20,055 | 24,504 | 13,870 | 4,279 | -3,091 | -4,969 | -5,475 | 13,867 | 23,246 | -27,402 | 85,718 |
| 2026 | -5,560 | 46,774 | 23,636 | 1,079 | 8,735 | 6,495 | 9,163 | -17,162 | 10,969 | 84,129 | |||
| 2020-03-27 to 2026-09-18. Blank cells fall outside the study. Each test period counts in the month it ends. | 345,523 | ||||||||||||
345,518Net pointscumulative, out-of-sample
2,033Mean test periodaverage points per period
2.97Step t-statisticacross 170 test periods
-35,554Max drawdownpoints, peak to trough
1.94Profit factorgross win / gross loss
57.6%Profitable test periodsof 170 periods
47,363Best test periodsingle best, points
-21,244Worst test periodsingle worst, points
Why it is a straight line, not a rocket
No compounding, over 6.5 years. Points measure the raw price movement captured, independent of account size, trade size or leverage. Compounding is what makes a curve go vertical - and it tells you nothing about whether the edge is real.
Exactly how each study is tested
Settings are selected using only price history up to a cut-off date, then scored on the following period, which the selection had never seen. The window then moves forward and the process repeats.
Consecutive test periods, no gapsMetaTrader 5High-quality dataCommission included, slippage notMeasured in pointsNo compounding
What this does not tell you
HypotheticalThis page is the tested record, not a real-money record.
Few instrumentsEvidence, not proof. One period each.
Costs includedBut live fills can still differ.
No live record yetReal-money results are not published on this site yet.